Oscar Picks
I guess i'm a little late in posting these, i mean being the day of the Oscar ceremony, but I feel I should go on record anyway. BTW - this isn't a list of my picks for who should win, only who I think will win.
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Wahlberg Yeah, yeah - Eddie Murphy's a shoe-in. But I tell you what's working against him besides those ubiquitous Norbit billboards and an ill-timed release of said film, it's his reclusivity. If he does win, it will because of all those early years of work in great films like 48 Hours and Trading Places. I don't think Eddie Murphy "plays the game" whereas Mark Wahlberg only "plays the game." Wahlberg gave an unexpectedly great performance and nearly steals each scene that he's in. I feel like Hollywood favors young actors in standout roles when they're still fresh in the game, but Wahlberg's been at it long enough to prove he's got chops and personality to stick around for a long time to come. Murphy is likely goingt o abandon further dramatic roles for the time being to do classy fare such as "Daddy Day Care 2" or another installment on "The Haunted Mansion."
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Hudson This one is a shoe-in for 'Dreamgirls.' Total rags-to-riches story and best supporting actress awards almost always go to newcomers. Don't ask me why, it just is.
Best Actor: Forest Whitaker Another guy here whose been around for a long-ass time busting his chops in supporting roles (anyone else remember him as "Jefferson" from 'Fast Times At Ridgemont High?') and here he's got a meaty, larger-than-life role that's based on historical fact. I hate to play the race card but I think his blackness will help him out on this one, too. Leo may be an upset but I doubt it, and O'Toole just got an honorary oscar two years ago.
Best Actress: Helen Mirren Everyone's said this one's a lock and it really looks that way. Helen Mirren's been doing the acting thing since the '70s and has always done outstanding work, but little of it in American cinema. Regardless, i'm sure she's getting some votes split towards Meryl Streep, but they won't be enough to make a dent in 'The Queen.'
Best Director: Martin Scorcese Or at least it better be. I will cry if they don't give it to him; I will cry if they do. Either way, expect some waterworks from Muggy. But seriously, I was convinced that three years ago he was gonna get it for 'Gangs of New York' then two years ago he was a sure thing for 'Aviator' which Eastwood snagged away with 'Million Dollar Baby.' In both cases, it would have been a sympathy vote. This year, he deserves it for his great work in 'Departed' plus he just deserves it for all those years he's been snubbed ('Raging Bull,' 'Taxi Driver'). This will be our year, took a long time to come.
Best Picture: The Departed It's a tough year to pick best picture, though honestly, the last few years have had a number of unexpected winners (i.e., the heinous 'Crash' or the frivolous 'Shakespeare In Love'). But as the critics have rightly pointed out, not everyone loves on-screen violence like Scorcese or myself, so a lot of votes will go towards safer fare like 'Little Miss Sunshine' or 'Babel' but because of the weigth of the director's race leaning in Scorcese's favor, i'll go with 'Departed.'
I'll be the first to admit these predictions could go wrong for me, but generally i'm able to guess with approximately 80% accuracy. Speaking of which, anyone want to place any bets before the show begins? Come on now! Let's make some money!
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Wahlberg Yeah, yeah - Eddie Murphy's a shoe-in. But I tell you what's working against him besides those ubiquitous Norbit billboards and an ill-timed release of said film, it's his reclusivity. If he does win, it will because of all those early years of work in great films like 48 Hours and Trading Places. I don't think Eddie Murphy "plays the game" whereas Mark Wahlberg only "plays the game." Wahlberg gave an unexpectedly great performance and nearly steals each scene that he's in. I feel like Hollywood favors young actors in standout roles when they're still fresh in the game, but Wahlberg's been at it long enough to prove he's got chops and personality to stick around for a long time to come. Murphy is likely goingt o abandon further dramatic roles for the time being to do classy fare such as "Daddy Day Care 2" or another installment on "The Haunted Mansion."
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Hudson This one is a shoe-in for 'Dreamgirls.' Total rags-to-riches story and best supporting actress awards almost always go to newcomers. Don't ask me why, it just is.
Best Actor: Forest Whitaker Another guy here whose been around for a long-ass time busting his chops in supporting roles (anyone else remember him as "Jefferson" from 'Fast Times At Ridgemont High?') and here he's got a meaty, larger-than-life role that's based on historical fact. I hate to play the race card but I think his blackness will help him out on this one, too. Leo may be an upset but I doubt it, and O'Toole just got an honorary oscar two years ago.
Best Actress: Helen Mirren Everyone's said this one's a lock and it really looks that way. Helen Mirren's been doing the acting thing since the '70s and has always done outstanding work, but little of it in American cinema. Regardless, i'm sure she's getting some votes split towards Meryl Streep, but they won't be enough to make a dent in 'The Queen.'
Best Director: Martin Scorcese Or at least it better be. I will cry if they don't give it to him; I will cry if they do. Either way, expect some waterworks from Muggy. But seriously, I was convinced that three years ago he was gonna get it for 'Gangs of New York' then two years ago he was a sure thing for 'Aviator' which Eastwood snagged away with 'Million Dollar Baby.' In both cases, it would have been a sympathy vote. This year, he deserves it for his great work in 'Departed' plus he just deserves it for all those years he's been snubbed ('Raging Bull,' 'Taxi Driver'). This will be our year, took a long time to come.
Best Picture: The Departed It's a tough year to pick best picture, though honestly, the last few years have had a number of unexpected winners (i.e., the heinous 'Crash' or the frivolous 'Shakespeare In Love'). But as the critics have rightly pointed out, not everyone loves on-screen violence like Scorcese or myself, so a lot of votes will go towards safer fare like 'Little Miss Sunshine' or 'Babel' but because of the weigth of the director's race leaning in Scorcese's favor, i'll go with 'Departed.'
I'll be the first to admit these predictions could go wrong for me, but generally i'm able to guess with approximately 80% accuracy. Speaking of which, anyone want to place any bets before the show begins? Come on now! Let's make some money!
posted by Mugs at 10:19 AM
1 Comments:
I agree with your picks, especially Mark Wahlberg. He was in The Departed for what, twenty minutes?, and stole every scene. Can't wait for the sequel if it happens.
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